(Contributed by Ed Beemiller, VP of Eagle Business Solutions)
Social Security was created by the US Government in 1935 to prevent the elderly citizens from living in poverty. It was designed to offer a baseline insurance policy for retirees, and it would be structured as a “pay as you go” plan with the active work force providing the money to fund the retirees.
Over the years, the demographics of the US have changed dramatically, along with an increase in life expectancy and a decrease in the ratio of active workers to retirees. Since the Social Security system was structured to have today’s workers fund the benefit payments of today’s retirees, the ratio of current workers to retirees is very important to ensuring the continued solvency of the Social Security Fund. In 1950, the ratio of current workers to retirees was approximately 16.5 to 1.00. Today, this ratio has decreased significantly to 2.9 to 1.00. In the next 25 years, experts believe this ratio will continue to decrease towards a ratio of 2.0 to 1.00.(1)
In an attempt to avert future problems, in 1983, a Social Security Trust Fund was created, with the intention to use excess payroll tax revenue to underwrite the shortfall in future Social Security needs. These funds were to be invested in a way which would enable the fund to grow and protect the system for the next 75 years. Instead, a system was created where these additional funds were put into non-negotiable treasury bonds, effectively an IOU from the government. The additional collected revenues were spent on general government expenses. Under the current Social Security system, by 2017 there will not be enough incoming taxes to pay benefits promised and the IOU’s in the trust fund will have to be cashed in. The US will need to raise that money somehow to pay back its obligations. By 2037 all the trust fund IOU’S will be depleted.
From its modest beginnings, Social Security has grown to become an essential facet of modern life. One in seven Americans receives a Social Security benefit, and more than 90 percent of all workers are in jobs covered by Social Security. From 1940, when slightly more than 222,000 people received monthly Social Security benefits, until today, when over 50 million people receive such benefits, Social Security has grown steadily.
To protect against the uncertainties associated with the future of our Social Security Program, most investment experts state that an increasing percentage of overall retirement dollars will need to come from personal savings and wealth accumulation. There are many risks associated with saving for retirement that every individual investor faces in today’s volatile market and difficult economic environment.
What is the answer? Should you invest in equities, mutual funds, real estate or some other investment vehicle? There was a recent study published by DALBAR in regards to the Quantitative Analysis of published Market Returns of Stocks and Bonds relative to the actual returns realized by the average investor. The results will be surprising to most individuals who believe that investing in equities and mutual funds is the answer. Over a period from 1-1-1991 to 12-31-10 (Almost 20 Years) the Stock Index returned 9.14%, but the average investor only realized a return of 3.83% during this same time period. The Bond Index returned 6.89%, but the average investor only realized a return of 1.01%(2). These variances in actual, realized returns were the result of bad timing and the phenomenon of buying and selling which leads to the individual returns significantly trailing the actual market returns realized.
However, there are other options out there. You don’t have to rely on Social Security, or risk it all in the market in order to have a secure retirement. If you are looking for a safe, tax-advantaged, guaranteed vehicle you can actually count on for your retirement years, click here to request a free financial analysis with a qualified Eagle Financial Solutions advisor, who can help you build a customized plan to secure your financial future.
1. Social Security Reform Center; http://www.socialsecurityreform.org
2. 2011 DALBAR Quantitative Analysis of Investor Behavior, Dalbar, Inc., March 2011 http://www.dalbar.com